Sport Picks
Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante 
Match Events
7'
7'
Garzia M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pistoiese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pistoiese have won more games recently than Sestri Levante.
- Win probability leans Pistoiese's way, sitting at 90%.
- Pistoiese arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sestri Levante, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 10%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sestri Levante | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 0.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sestri Levante vs Pistoiese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sestri Levante Compare
Top Goalscorer Garzia M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Pistoiese Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sestri Levante 10 / 100
Pistoiese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sestri Levante Pistoiese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sestri Levante scored in 70% of their last 33 games.
Recent resilience: Sestri Levante stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Pistoiese has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Sestri Levante VS Pistoiese
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sestri Levante
(Home) 07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0 Pistoiese
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1 Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2 AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Fezzanese
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0 Pistoiese
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2 AS Biellese
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Fezzanese
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
15 Aug
Sestri Levante
1 : 1 Genoa U20
Page 1 of 4
Pistoiese
(Away) 07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0 Pistoiese
04 Oct
USD Casatese
0 : 3 Pistoiese
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0 Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1 Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Arconatese
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07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0 Pistoiese
04 Oct
USD Casatese
0 : 3 Pistoiese
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1 Pistoiese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3 Pistoiese
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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