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Sete de Setembro (PE) vs Aguia FC

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 game between Sete de Setembro (PE) and Aguia FC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Sete de Setembro (PE)
17%
Draws
70%
Aguia FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aguia FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sete de Setembro (PE) have managed 0.5 goals a game lately — Aguia FC are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Aguia FC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sete de Setembro (PE) Clean Sheet 12%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sete de Setembro (PE) Aguia FC
Matches Played 34 21
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Pernambucano 3
Sete de Setembro (PE) vs Aguia FC
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sete de Setembro (PE) 14 / 100
Aguia FC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sete de Setembro (PE) Aguia FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia FC let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Aguia FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sete de Setembro (PE) scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Sete de Setembro (PE) VS Aguia FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE761018:419
2Caruaru742112:714
3Aguia FC733112:812
4Belo Jardim733111:712
5Pesqueira71513:48
6Cha Grande71158:144
71º de Maio71156:164
8Sete de Setembro (PE)70255:152