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Sevilla B vs Alcorcon

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Jesus Navas, Sevilla
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Rodriguez S.
41'
Ballesteros Y.
53' Event
Costa A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Sevilla B and Alcorcon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sevilla B
35%
Draws
24%
Alcorcon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sevilla B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alcorcon come out ahead of Sevilla B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sevilla B's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sevilla B Clean Sheet 16%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla B Alcorcon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 14
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.55 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.31 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sevilla B vs Alcorcon
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Sevilla B
0:0
May 24, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sevilla B vs Alcorcon
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Sevilla B
2:2
Apr 28, 2018 LaLiga2
Sevilla B vs Alcorcon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla B Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouhdadi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla B 41 / 100
Alcorcon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla B Alcorcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sevilla B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sevilla B scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla B VS Alcorcon
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla B

(Home)
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1
Sevilla B
31 Jul
Cordoba B
2 : 1
Sevilla B
23 May
Sevilla B
1 : 1
Alcorcon
16 May
Villarreal B
2 : 0
Sevilla B
10 May
Sevilla B
2 : 2
Eldense
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Alcorcon

(Away)
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0
CE Europa
30 Aug
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Alcorcon
18 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 0
Alcorcon
14 Aug
AD Merida
2 : 1
Alcorcon
12 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)