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Sevilla C vs Xerez Deportivo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10
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Match Events

15' Event
Obi C.
37' Event
Moreno R.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Moreno R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 game between Sevilla C and Xerez Deportivo FC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xerez Deportivo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sevilla C
30%
Draws
41%
Xerez Deportivo FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Xerez Deportivo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sevilla C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sevilla C a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sevilla C Clean Sheet 19%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla C Xerez Deportivo FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sevilla C vs Xerez Deportivo FC
2:3
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Sevilla C
2:1
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sevilla C vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:0
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Sevilla C
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sevilla C vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla C Compare

Top Goalscorer Obi C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luque A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saavedra Pereira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla C 36 / 100
Xerez Deportivo FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla C Xerez Deportivo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xerez Deportivo FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sevilla C went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sevilla C scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla C VS Xerez Deportivo FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla C

(Home)
10 Oct
Sevilla C
1 : 2
Tomares UD
04 Oct
Chiclana
1 : 1
Sevilla C
27 Sept
Sevilla C
0 : 0
Egabrense
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1
San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 3
Xerez Deportivo FC
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Xerez Deportivo FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
1 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
27 Sept
Betis C
2 : 0
Xerez Deportivo FC
19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0
Bollullos
13 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 3
Xerez Deportivo FC
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
2 CD Utrera 5 4 0 1 7:5 12
3 Tomares UD 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
4 Betis C 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Portuense 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
6 Pozoblanco 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
7 Egabrense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Chiclana 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
9 San Roque de Lepe 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 AD Ceuta B 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
12 Linense 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
13 Conil 6 2 0 4 4:10 6
14 Cadiz B 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
15 Bollullos 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
16 Sevilla C 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
17 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
18 Cordoba B 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)