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Sevilla vs Alaves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sevilla host Alaves in the LaLiga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Sevilla at 1.21 goals for, 1.32 against; Alaves at 1.57 for, 1.39 against. Head-to-head, Sevilla have won 1 to Alaves's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.63) back Sevilla to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sevilla
30%
Draws
23%
Alaves
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sevilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sevilla come out ahead of Alaves on wins alone.
  • Sevilla are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 14%
Alaves Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla Alaves
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Alaves
1:1
Dec 17, 2025 Copa del Rey
Alaves vs Sevilla
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 LaLiga
Alaves vs Sevilla
1:2
Apr 20, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Alaves
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 LaLiga
Alaves vs Sevilla
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla 35 / 100
Alaves 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla Alaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sevilla scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Alaves has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Alaves lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla VS Alaves
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla

(Home)
26 Oct
Sevilla
2 : 0
Osasuna
18 Oct
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Sevilla
12 Oct
Levante
3 : 3
Sevilla
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3
Barcelona
Page 1 of 6

Alaves

(Away)
23 Oct
Alaves
1 : 1
Malaga
18 Oct
Celta Vigo
2 : 1
Alaves
10 Oct
Alaves
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 10 9 0 1 40:11 27
2 Atl. Madrid 10 8 1 1 20:8 25
3 Real Madrid 10 8 0 2 25:10 24
4 Betis 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
5 Real Sociedad 10 6 1 3 19:18 19
6 Sevilla 10 5 2 3 16:16 17
7 Alaves 10 3 3 4 14:11 12
8 Ath Bilbao 9 3 3 3 12:9 12
9 Celta Vigo 10 2 6 2 10:7 12
10 Villarreal 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
11 Dep. A Coruna 10 2 5 3 13:13 11
12 Osasuna 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
13 Racing Santander 10 3 2 5 15:26 11
14 Levante 10 2 4 4 16:19 10
15 Elche 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
16 Rayo Vallecano 9 2 3 4 12:20 9
17 Getafe 10 2 3 5 5:15 9
18 Espanyol 10 2 2 6 12:14 8
19 Valencia 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
20 Malaga 10 0 5 5 7:19 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)