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Sevilla vs Osasuna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sevilla host Osasuna in the LaLiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sevilla have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Osasuna's 1.17 scored and 1.62 conceded. Past meetings favor Osasuna slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.81 - 1.25) back Sevilla to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sevilla
20%
Draws
40%
Osasuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Osasuna haven't matched Sevilla's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 68%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla Osasuna
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Sevilla
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Osasuna
1:0
Apr 24, 2025 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Sevilla
1:0
Dec 2, 2024 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Osasuna
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Osasuna
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla 41 / 100
Osasuna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla Osasuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sevilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sevilla found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Osasuna let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Osasuna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla VS Osasuna
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla

(Home)
18 Oct
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Sevilla
12 Oct
Levante
3 : 3
Sevilla
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3
Barcelona
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
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Osasuna

(Away)
18 Oct
Osasuna
2 : 0
Racing Santander
11 Oct
Betis
5 : 2
Osasuna
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0
Osasuna
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2
Espanyol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 9 9 0 0 39:9 27
2 Atl. Madrid 9 7 1 1 19:8 22
3 Betis 9 6 1 2 16:14 19
4 Real Madrid 8 6 0 2 19:8 18
5 Sevilla 8 4 2 2 13:12 14
6 Real Sociedad 8 4 1 3 12:15 13
7 Alaves 8 3 2 3 12:8 11
8 Dep. A Coruna 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
9 Ath Bilbao 7 2 3 2 7:6 9
10 Villarreal 9 2 3 4 13:13 9
11 Celta Vigo 8 1 5 2 8:6 8
12 Espanyol 9 2 2 5 11:12 8
13 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
14 Getafe 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
15 Racing Santander 8 2 2 4 13:23 8
16 Osasuna 8 2 2 4 8:18 8
17 Levante 8 1 4 3 12:16 7
18 Elche 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
19 Valencia 9 1 3 5 6:15 6
20 Malaga 8 0 4 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)