Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Rakovski Stadium

Sevlievo

3 - 2

Chernomorets 1919

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Banev M.

29'

Dimitrov A.

31'

Dimitrov A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Sevlievo and Chernomorets 1919 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sevlievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Sevlievo

28%

Draws

50%

Chernomorets 1919

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Chernomorets 1919 carry the better recent record into this one.
50% — that's where the model lands on Chernomorets 1919 taking it.
Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Sevlievo Clean Sheet 10%

Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sevlievo	Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	9	10
Draws	3	9
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	1	1
Goals Conceded	2.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vtora liga

Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

3:2

Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly

Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Nov 22, 2025 Vtora liga

Chernomorets 1919 vs Sevlievo

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Sep 13, 2023 Bulgarian Cup

Sevlievo vs Chernomorets 1919

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevlievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Banev M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dimitrov A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Slavov S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kostadinov D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevlievo 22 / 100

Chernomorets 1919 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sevlievo Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Chernomorets 1919's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sevlievo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Chernomorets 1919 has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sevlievo VS Chernomorets 1919

1 Goals Scored 1

2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dunav Ruse	32	20	9	3	53:16	69
2	Yantra Gabrovo	32	18	10	4	45:24	64
3	Fratria	32	18	9	5	61:29	63
4	Vihren	32	17	7	8	59:34	58
5	CSKA Sofia II	32	16	7	9	57:32	55
6	Chernomorets 1919	32	11	13	8	38:32	46
7	Etar	32	11	11	10	39:43	44
8	Ludogorets II	32	11	8	13	41:43	41
9	Marek	32	10	11	11	27:35	41
10	Hebar	32	11	7	14	41:51	40
11	Pirin Blagoevgrad	32	9	11	12	38:41	38
12	Spartak Pleven	32	9	8	15	37:45	35
13	Svoge	32	9	7	16	28:48	34
14	Gorna	32	8	9	15	33:52	33
15	Sevlievo	32	9	5	18	29:52	32
16	Minyor Pernik	32	7	9	16	32:45	30
17	Belasitsa Petrich	32	4	7	21	26:62	19