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Sevlievo vs CSKA Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 Rakovski Stadium, Sevlievo
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Sanyang S.
60' Event
Brahimi M.
65' Event
Petrov D.

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia in this Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sevlievo
35%
Draws
38%
CSKA Sofia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSKA Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Sevlievo.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia a 38% chance of winning this.
  • CSKA Sofia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CSKA Sofia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sevlievo Clean Sheet 17%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevlievo CSKA Sofia
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Sevlievo vs CSKA Sofia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevlievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanyang S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brahimi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevlievo 28 / 100
CSKA Sofia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevlievo CSKA Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sevlievo found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

CSKA Sofia let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sevlievo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sevlievo VS CSKA Sofia
1.17 Goals Scored 2
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevlievo

(Home)
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0
OFK Levski
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Spartak Pleven II
22 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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CSKA Sofia

(Away)
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2