Sport Picks
Sevlievo vs Lokomotiv Mezdra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-West Rakovski Stadium, Sevlievo 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-West matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sevlievo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lokomotiv Mezdra lately — more wins on the board than Sevlievo.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sevlievo Clean Sheet 10%
Lokomotiv Mezdra Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sevlievo | Lokomotiv Mezdra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 2.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Lokomotiv Mezdra
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Lokomotiv Mezdra
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Third League - North-West
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Sevlievo
1:2
May 11, 2024 Third League - North-West
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Sevlievo
0:0
Oct 27, 2023 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Lokomotiv Mezdra
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sevlievo 30 / 100
Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sevlievo Lokomotiv Mezdra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lokomotiv Mezdra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sevlievo scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Sevlievo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Lokomotiv Mezdra let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sevlievo VS Lokomotiv Mezdra
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sevlievo
(Home) 10 Oct
Kom Berkovitsa
0 : 0 Sevlievo
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0 Sevlievo
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0 OFK Levski
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1 Sevlievo
29 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2 Spartak Pleven II
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0 OFK Levski
29 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2 Spartak Pleven II
22 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2 Lokomotiv Mezdra
23 May
Sevlievo
3 : 2 Chernomorets 1919
11 May
Sevlievo
2 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
Page 1 of 3
Lokomotiv Mezdra
(Away) 10 Oct
Yantra Polski Trambesh
2 : 2 Lokomotiv Mezdra
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 2 Lokomotiv Mezdra
19 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
3 : 0 Juventus Malchika
12 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
0 : 0 Lokomotiv Mezdra
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Yantra Polski Trambesh
2 : 2 Lokomotiv Mezdra
26 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 2 Lokomotiv Mezdra
12 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
0 : 0 Lokomotiv Mezdra
29 Aug
Bdin Vidin
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Mezdra
22 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2 Lokomotiv Mezdra
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akademik Svishtov | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Mezdra | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Kom Berkovitsa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 4 | Yantra Polski Trambesh | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Partizan Cerven Brjag | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Sevlievo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Bdin Vidin | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Chavdar Troyan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 9 | OFK Levski | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 10 | Spartak Pleven II | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 11 | Pavlikeni | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 12 | Etar II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 13 | Juventus Malchika | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)
