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Stadium Background

Seychelles vs Burundi

World World

World Championship 2026 Stade Municipal de Berkane, Berkane
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Sudi A.
Assist: Muderi A.
45'
Mellie W.
46'
Sub
Henriette R. In: Labrosse B.
Out: Henriette R.

AI Match Summary

Burundi in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burundi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Seychelles
15%
Draws
73%
Burundi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burundi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Burundi have won more games recently than Seychelles.
  • Win probability leans Burundi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burundi have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Seychelles Clean Sheet 10%
Burundi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seychelles Burundi
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 1 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.4 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
Burundi vs Seychelles
5:0
Jun 11, 2024 World Championship
Seychelles vs Burundi
1:3
Sep 4, 2021 Friendly International
Burundi vs Seychelles
8:1
Jan 18, 2020 Bangabandhu Gold Cup
Burundi vs Seychelles
3:1
Oct 13, 2015 World Championship
Burundi vs Seychelles
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seychelles Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoareau L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Burundi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanakimana B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sudi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seychelles 10 / 100
Burundi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seychelles Burundi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Burundi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Burundi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Seychelles's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Seychelles VS Burundi
0.13 Goals Scored 0.75
4.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Seychelles

(Home)
29 Mar
Lesotho
2 : 1
Seychelles
26 Mar
Seychelles
0 : 0
Lesotho
14 Oct
Seychelles
0 : 7
Gambia
10 Oct
Seychelles
0 : 7
Ivory Coast
09 Sept
Kenya
5 : 0
Seychelles
Page 1 of 6

Burundi

(Away)
26 May
Morocco
5 : 0
Burundi
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
14 Oct
Gabon
2 : 0
Burundi
09 Oct
Burundi
0 : 1
Kenya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 10 8 2 0 20:2 26
2 Burkina Faso 10 6 3 1 23:8 21
3 Sierra Leone 10 4 3 3 12:10 15
4 Guinea Bissau 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
5 Ethiopia 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
6 Djibouti 10 0 1 9 5:33 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 10 7 3 0 22:3 24
2 D.R. Congo 10 7 1 2 15:6 22
3 Sudan 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Togo 10 1 5 4 5:10 8
5 Mauritania 10 1 4 5 4:13 7
6 South Sudan 10 0 5 5 3:19 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 10 5 3 2 15:9 18
2 Nigeria 10 4 5 1 15:8 17
3 Benin 10 5 2 3 12:11 17
4 Lesotho 10 3 3 4 9:12 12
5 Rwanda 10 3 2 5 5:9 11
6 Zimbabwe 10 0 5 5 5:12 5
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 10 7 2 1 16:8 23
2 Cameroon 10 5 4 1 17:5 19
3 Libya 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
4 Angola 10 2 6 2 9:8 12
5 Mauritius 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
6 Eswatini 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 8 8 0 0 22:2 24
2 Niger 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
3 Tanzania 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
4 Zambia 8 3 0 5 10:10 9
5 Congo 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
6 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 10 8 2 0 25:0 26
2 Gabon 10 8 1 1 22:9 25
3 Gambia 10 4 1 5 27:18 13
4 Kenya 10 3 3 4 18:14 12
5 Burundi 10 3 1 6 13:13 10
6 Seychelles 10 0 0 10 2:53 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 10 8 1 1 24:8 25
2 Uganda 10 6 0 4 14:9 18
3 Mozambique 10 6 0 4 14:17 18
4 Guinea 10 4 3 3 11:8 15
5 Botswana 10 3 1 6 12:16 10
6 Somalia 10 0 1 9 3:20 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia 10 9 1 0 22:0 28
2 Namibia 10 4 3 3 13:10 15
3 Liberia 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Malawi 10 4 1 5 11:10 13
5 Equatorial Guinea 10 3 2 5 8:15 11
6 Sao Tome and Principe 10 1 0 9 5:26 3
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana 10 8 1 1 23:6 25
2 Madagascar 10 6 1 3 17:12 19
3 Mali 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
4 Comoros 10 5 0 5 12:13 15
5 Central Africa 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
6 Chad 10 0 1 9 5:24 1
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