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Sfax Railways vs Bousalem

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Amri H.

AI Match Summary

Sfax Railways in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sfax Railways.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sfax Railways
30%
Draws
19%
Bousalem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sfax Railways

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bousalem haven't matched Sfax Railways's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sfax Railways a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 20%
Bousalem Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sfax Railways Bousalem
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Bousalem
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
Bousalem vs Sfax Railways
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sfax Railways Compare

Top Goalscorer Amri H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bousalem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sfax Railways 85 / 100
Bousalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sfax Railways Bousalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sfax Railways stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sfax Railways scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Bousalem has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sfax Railways VS Bousalem
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sfax Railways

(Home)
26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2
Sfax Railways
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2
Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3
Sfax Railways
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0
Bousalem
Page 1 of 6

Bousalem

(Away)
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0
Bousalem
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0
Msaken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)