Sport Picks
Sfax Railways vs Menzel Bourguiba Prediction & H2H Stats
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
34'
34'
Amri H.
45'
45'
Belgacem M.
59'
59'
Laabidi N.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Sfax Railways and Menzel Bourguiba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sfax Railways.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
63%
20%
17%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sfax Railways
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Sfax Railways carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sfax Railways a 63% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Sfax Railways have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 68%
Menzel Bourguiba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sfax Railways | Menzel Bourguiba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2026 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Menzel Bourguiba
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs Sfax Railways
0:2
Mar 8, 2020 Ligue 2
Menzel Bourguiba vs Sfax Railways
1:0
Oct 26, 2019 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Menzel Bourguiba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sfax Railways Compare
Top Goalscorer Amri H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Belgacem M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Menzel Bourguiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Laabidi N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sfax Railways 95 / 100
Menzel Bourguiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sfax Railways Menzel Bourguiba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Menzel Bourguiba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Sfax Railways went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Sfax Railways scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Sfax Railways VS Menzel Bourguiba
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sfax Railways
(Home) 03 Oct
Sfax Railways
0 : 0 AS Gabes
26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Sfax Railways
0 : 0 AS Gabes
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
04 Apr
Sfax Railways
0 : 2 Sporting Ben Arous
28 Feb
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 3
Menzel Bourguiba
(Away) 11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4 Kerkennah
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
05 Apr
US Tataouine
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
28 Feb
Chebba
4 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
