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Sfintul Gheorghe vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sfintul Gheorghe play Sheriff Tiraspol in the Super Liga 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sfintul Gheorghe averaged 1 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Sheriff Tiraspol averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.56 conceded. In past meetings, Sfintul Gheorghe won 0, Sheriff Tiraspol won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 12, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Sfintul Gheorghe and 1.49 for Sheriff Tiraspol. This points to a Sheriff Tiraspol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sfintul Gheorghe
18%
Draws
54%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Sfintul Gheorghe picked up more points recently compared to Sheriff Tiraspol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
Sfintul Gheorghe Clean Sheet 16%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sfintul Gheorghe Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 23 32
Wins 8 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2023 Super Liga
Sfintul Gheorghe vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:0
May 14, 2023 Super Liga
Sfintul Gheorghe vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:2
Apr 9, 2023 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Sfintul Gheorghe
1:0
Oct 2, 2022 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Sfintul Gheorghe
3:0
Aug 6, 2022 Super Liga
Sfintul Gheorghe vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sfintul Gheorghe Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badolo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sfintul Gheorghe 28 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sfintul Gheorghe Sheriff Tiraspol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sfintul Gheorghe attacking → ← attacking Sheriff Tiraspol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sfintul Gheorghe scored in 52% of their last 23 games.

Sheriff Tiraspol let in goals in 38% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sfintul Gheorghe went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sheriff Tiraspol lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 67
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sheriff Tiraspol1073015:324
2Petrocub Hincesti1063116:621
3Zimbru Chisinau1033410:912
4Milsami1032510:1611
5Sfintul Gheorghe101454:137
6CSF Balti100555:135