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Sfintul Gheorghe vs Zimbru Chisinau

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sfintul Gheorghe play Zimbru Chisinau in the Super Liga 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sfintul Gheorghe averaged 1 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Zimbru Chisinau averaged 2.11 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Sfintul Gheorghe won 1, Zimbru Chisinau won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Aug 19, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Sfintul Gheorghe and 1.68 for Zimbru Chisinau. This points to a Zimbru Chisinau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sfintul Gheorghe
35%
Draws
39%
Zimbru Chisinau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zimbru Chisinau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Sfintul Gheorghe picked up more points recently compared to Zimbru Chisinau.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.68 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sfintul Gheorghe Clean Sheet 13%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sfintul Gheorghe Zimbru Chisinau
Matches Played 23 37
Wins 8 20
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2023 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Sfintul Gheorghe
0:0
Apr 22, 2023 Super Liga
Sfintul Gheorghe vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:2
Apr 5, 2023 Moldovan Cup
Zimbru Chisinau vs Sfintul Gheorghe
3:4
Mar 11, 2023 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Sfintul Gheorghe
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Moldovan Cup
Sfintul Gheorghe vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sfintul Gheorghe Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaribe E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sfintul Gheorghe 26 / 100
Zimbru Chisinau 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sfintul Gheorghe Zimbru Chisinau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zimbru Chisinau or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sfintul Gheorghe attacking → ← attacking Zimbru Chisinau

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sfintul Gheorghe scored in 52% of their last 23 games.

Zimbru Chisinau let in goals in 49% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sfintul Gheorghe went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Zimbru Chisinau lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 70
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sheriff Tiraspol1073015:324
2Petrocub Hincesti1063116:621
3Zimbru Chisinau1033410:912
4Milsami1032510:1611
5Sfintul Gheorghe101454:137
6CSF Balti100555:135