Sport Picks

Latvia

1. Liga 2013

Jekabpils SC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SFK United play Jekabpils SC in the 1. Liga 2013. Jekabpils SC are favorites here. Recently, SFK United averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Jekabpils SC averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, SFK United won 1, Jekabpils SC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 1, 2014 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for SFK United and 1.05 for Jekabpils SC. This points to a Jekabpils SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

SFK United

15%

Draws

56%

Jekabpils SC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jekabpils SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

SFK United picked up more points recently compared to Jekabpils SC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

SFK United Clean Sheet 22%

Jekabpils SC Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SFK United	Jekabpils SC
Matches Played	30	16
Wins	7	10
Draws	7	0
Losses	16	6
Goals Scored	1.3	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.93	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2014 Nakotnes liga

Jekabpils SC vs SFK United

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

May 1, 2014 Nakotnes liga

SFK United vs Jekabpils SC

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Sep 14, 2013 Nakotnes liga

SFK United vs Jekabpils SC

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

May 19, 2013 Nakotnes liga

Jekabpils SC vs SFK United

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SFK United 31 / 100

Jekabpils SC 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SFK United Jekabpils SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jekabpils SC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Jekabpils SC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SFK United attacking → ← attacking Jekabpils SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SFK United scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Jekabpils SC let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

SFK United went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Jekabpils SC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 30

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	BFC Daugavpils	30	25	4	1	104:16	79
2	Gulbene	30	21	4	5	87:31	67
3	Valmiera	30	18	5	7	59:27	59
4	Ventspils 2	30	18	3	9	68:27	57
5	Liepajas Metalurgs 2	30	16	4	10	60:39	52
6	Skonto 2	30	12	8	10	50:47	44
7	RFS	30	12	7	11	49:44	43
8	Rezekne	30	13	4	13	55:54	43
9	FK Metta 2	30	11	8	11	42:42	41
10	FK 1625 Liepaja	30	11	8	11	51:46	41
11	Tukums 2000	30	12	2	16	63:80	38
12	Jekabpils SC	30	10	2	18	42:81	32
13	FK Auda Riga	30	8	4	18	45:54	28
14	SFK United	30	8	2	20	43:86	26
15	FK Jurmala VV 2	30	8	0	22	33:109	24
16	Jelgava 2	30	3	3	24	35:103	12