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Shaanxi Union vs Changchun Yatai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Weinan Sports Center Stadium, Weinan
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
JIng Boxi
32' Event
Tan Long
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Tan Long In: Muhamet
Out: Tan Long

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Shaanxi Union and Changchun Yatai finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shaanxi Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shaanxi Union
30%
Draws
31%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shaanxi Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Changchun Yatai haven't matched Shaanxi Union's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shaanxi Union's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Changchun Yatai here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Shaanxi Union Clean Sheet 14%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shaanxi Union Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 League One
Shaanxi Union vs Changchun Yatai
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Shaanxi Union
2:1
Jun 21, 2024 FA Cup
Shaanxi Union vs Changchun Yatai
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shaanxi Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Feng Boyuan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhamet
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shaanxi Union 66 / 100
Changchun Yatai 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shaanxi Union Changchun Yatai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shaanxi Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Shaanxi Union found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Shaanxi Union remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shaanxi Union VS Changchun Yatai
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shaanxi Union

(Home)
07 Oct
Nanjing City
1 : 4
Shaanxi Union
27 Sept
Shaanxi Union
3 : 0
Dalian Kun City
19 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 2
Suzhou Dongwu
12 Sept
Ningbo Professional
1 : 0
Shaanxi Union
05 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 1
Dingnan Ganlian
Page 1 of 6

Changchun Yatai

(Away)
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1
Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Changchun Yatai
2 : 0
Ningbo Professional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
7 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 25 9 7 9 23:25 34
8 Wuxi Wugou 25 9 6 10 38:31 33
9 Changchun Yatai 25 10 4 11 38:41 30
10 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
11 Dalian Kun City 25 7 8 10 30:37 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 25 7 9 9 30:35 27
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 25 7 4 14 25:50 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)