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Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Rashid Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai play Khorfakkan in the UAE League 2025/2026. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai are favorites here. Recently, Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Khorfakkan averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai won 3, Khorfakkan won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and 1.00 for Khorfakkan. This points to a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
39%
Draws
31%
Khorfakkan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Khorfakkan.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in UAE League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 68%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Khorfakkan
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan
3:3
Feb 1, 2026 Presidents Cup
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan
3:1
Nov 20, 2025 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan
4:0
Dec 8, 2024 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri Cesar
2 Goals
Assists Leader Azmoun S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Khorfakkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Boa Morte A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jshak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 41 / 100
Khorfakkan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Khorfakkan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Khorfakkan let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Khorfakkan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai VS Khorfakkan
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520