Sport Picks
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Nasaf Qarshi
Asia
AFC Champions League 2025/2026 Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai 
Match Events
8'
8'
Cartabia F.
Assist: Guilherme B.
10'
10'
Abdirakhmatov Z.
Assist: Bakhromov S.
21'
21'
Abdirakhmatov Z.
AI Match Summary
The AFC Champions League 2025/2026 game between Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and Nasaf Qarshi finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 20%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2025 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Nasaf Qarshi
4:1
Dec 4, 2024 AFC Champions League 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Nasaf Qarshi
3:2
Oct 2, 2024 AFC Champions League 2
Nasaf Qarshi vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2:1
Apr 7, 2015 AFC Champions League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:1
Mar 18, 2015 AFC Champions League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare
Top Goalscorer Cartabia F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Renan V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdirakhmatov Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 32 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Nasaf Qarshi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Nasaf Qarshi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai VS Nasaf Qarshi
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
(Home) 13 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
16 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 1 Al Bataeh
10 May
Bani Yas
2 : 2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
06 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 Al Nasr
29 Apr
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
3 : 3 Khorfakkan
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 1 Al Bataeh
06 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 Al Nasr
29 Apr
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
3 : 3 Khorfakkan
04 Apr
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 Al Jazira
11 Mar
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
5 : 1 Ittihad Kalba
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Nasaf Qarshi
(Away) 22 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 1 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Jul
Bunyodkor
1 : 3 Nasaf Qarshi
04 May
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0 Navbahor Namangan
28 Apr
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Nasaf Qarshi
23 Apr
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 1 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Jul
Bunyodkor
1 : 3 Nasaf Qarshi
28 Apr
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Nasaf Qarshi
18 Apr
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Nasaf Qarshi
08 Apr
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram United F.C. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Seoul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Ulsan Hyundai | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:11 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)