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Shabab Al-Ghar vs Al Tirsana

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Shabab Al-Ghar
33%
Draws
40%
Al Tirsana
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Tirsana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Tirsana at 1.38 per game, Shabab Al-Ghar at 0.88.
  • Model gives Al Tirsana a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Shabab Al-Ghar Clean Sheet 20%
Al Tirsana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al-Ghar Al Tirsana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 13 12
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al-Ghar vs Al Tirsana
3:3
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Al Tirsana vs Shabab Al-Ghar
1:2
Feb 5, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al-Ghar vs Al Tirsana
0:0
Dec 11, 2024 Premier League
Al Tirsana vs Shabab Al-Ghar
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al-Ghar 28 / 100
Al Tirsana 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al-Ghar Al Tirsana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Shabab Al-Ghar scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al Tirsana has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Shabab Al-Ghar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al-Ghar VS Al Tirsana
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli18152147:947
2Asswehly18134135:943
3Al Madina1884623:2228
4Al Watan1865714:1823
5Assabah1864812:1822
6Al Malaab El Libby1855815:2120
7Al-Khmes1855819:3120
8Al Qadisiyah18621011:2419
9Al Dahra18351020:2714
10Abu Salim18341113:3013
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad16133035:942
2Olympic Azzaweya1694325:1131
3Al Ittihad Misurata1676321:1127
4Al-Majd1665514:1323
5Al Shomooa1664624:1922
6Shabab Al-Ghar1646617:2718
7Al Tirsana1637615:2316
8Ittihad Gharyan16241010:2510
9Abi Al Ashar1613129:326
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Military Union16105126:935
2Al Hilal Benghazi16104220:1134
3Al Ahly Benghazi1696123:633
4Al Taawun1675419:1426
5Darnes1655616:1620
6Al Sadaqa1654716:1719
7Al-Anwar1618712:2311
8Al Borouq1624107:2110
9Al-Suqoor16131213:356
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr14112128:735
2Al Akhdar1484216:928
3Al-Afreeki1472529:1823
4Al Tahaddi1456321:1421
5Khaleej Sirte1454525:2219
6Wefaq Ajdabiya1453613:1718
7Al Murooj SC1441916:2413
8Al-Andalus1400141:380