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Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Jazeera Amman

Jordan Jordan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Shabab Al Ordon averaging 1.2 xG at home and Al Jazeera Amman producing 1.3 xG on their travels. Al Jazeera Amman will likely drop deep and defend, forcing Shabab Al Ordon to find a way to break them down. A single goal could decide this. The Under 3.5 goals market offers solid value. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Shabab Al Ordon
30%
Draws
33%
Al Jazeera Amman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shabab Al Ordon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shabab Al Ordon picked up more points recently compared to Al Jazeera Amman.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Shabab Al Ordon Clean Sheet 19%
Al Jazeera Amman Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al Ordon Al Jazeera Amman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

04.05.26 Premier League
Al Jazeera Amman vs Shabab Al Ordon
1:3
02.03.26 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Jazeera Amman
1:1
11.12.25 Shield Cup
Al Jazeera Amman vs Shabab Al Ordon
2:1
24.10.25 Premier League
Al Jazeera Amman vs Shabab Al Ordon
0:0
15.02.25 Premier League
Al Jazeera Amman vs Shabab Al Ordon
2:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Shabab Al Ordon

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Al Jazeera Amman

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al Ordon Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
7 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
5 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.73

Al Jazeera Amman Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
9 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
7 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.91

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Al Jazeera Amman • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Shabab Al Ordon • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Al Jazeera Amman • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Shabab Al Ordon • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al Ordon 37 / 100
Al Jazeera Amman 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al Ordon Al Jazeera Amman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shabab Al Ordon or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Shabab Al Ordon will likely press early to force mistakes.

Shabab Al Ordon 59%
Al Jazeera Amman 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Al Jazeera Amman should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Shabab Al Ordon 54%
Al Jazeera Amman 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Shabab Al Ordon 51%
Al Jazeera Amman 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Shabab Al Ordon to push more players wide.

Shabab Al Ordon 56%
Al Jazeera Amman 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Shabab Al Ordon 51%
Al Jazeera Amman 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Shabab Al Ordon 62%
Al Jazeera Amman 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shabab Al Ordon attacking → ← attacking Al Jazeera Amman

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al Ordon have scored in 94% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Al Jazeera Amman concede most goals (47%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 21 shots per game, well above the league median.

Shabab Al Ordon are unbeaten in 7 straight matches when scoring first.

Al Jazeera Amman have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 8 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Shabab Al Ordon wants a European spot, while Al Jazeera Amman is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 34
1.19 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2