Sport Picks

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Shabab Baalbeck vs Racing

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Mandoumbe W.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Shabab Baalbeck and Racing finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shabab Baalbeck.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Shabab Baalbeck
15%
Draws
0%
Racing
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shabab Baalbeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shabab Baalbeck haven't matched Racing's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shabab Baalbeck's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Shabab Baalbeck Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Baalbeck Racing
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 4 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 30
Goals Scored 0.7 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Racing
1:0
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Racing
1:2
Apr 25, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Shabab Baalbeck
2:0
Jan 31, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Racing
0:0
Apr 7, 2019 Premier League
Racing vs Shabab Baalbeck
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Baalbeck Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandoumbe W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Racing Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Baalbeck 86 / 100
Racing 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Baalbeck Racing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shabab Baalbeck Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing let in goals in 90% of their last 40 matches.

Racing lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Shabab Baalbeck's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Racing
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Baalbeck

(Home)
05 Jul
Al Sahel
5 : 1
Shabab Baalbeck
01 Jul
Shabab Baalbeck
0 : 3
Bourj
25 Jun
Shabab Baalbeck
1 : 0
Racing
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
3 : 0
Shabab Baalbeck
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Racing

(Away)
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
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