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Shabana vs Nairobi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Fri, Sep 4, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shabana host Nairobi United in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Nairobi United have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Shabana have conceded 1.04 and scored 0.96. Head-to-head, Shabana have won 0 to Nairobi United's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.32 xG vs 0.44) point toward Nairobi United. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Shabana
35%
Draws
40%
Nairobi United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nairobi United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Shabana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shabana are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Nairobi United have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Shabana Clean Sheet 20%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabana Nairobi United
Matches Played 23 24
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.04 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Nairobi United
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Shabana
3:0
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Nairobi United
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabana 42 / 100
Nairobi United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabana Nairobi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shabana scored in 74% of their last 23 outings.

Nairobi United let in goals in 67% of their last 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Shabana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabana VS Nairobi United
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
25% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabana

(Home)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
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Nairobi United

(Away)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)