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Shabana vs Police FC

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shabana play Police FC in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shabana averaged 0.93 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Police FC averaged 0.9 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. In past meetings, Shabana won 2, Police FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.32 for Shabana and 0.88 for Police FC. This points to a Shabana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Shabana
33%
Draws
32%
Police FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shabana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shabana picked up more points recently compared to Police FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.32 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Shabana Clean Sheet 25%
Police FC Clean Sheet 25%
First Half Goal 38%
Second Half Goal 40%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabana Police FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 14
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Shabana vs Police FC
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Police FC
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Shabana
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Shabana
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Shabana vs Police FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabana 37 / 100
Police FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabana Police FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shabana or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +37.5%
6.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shabana attacking → ← attacking Police FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabana scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Police FC let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Shabana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Police FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 47
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119