Sport Picks

England

FA Cup

Exmouth Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shaftesbury Town play Exmouth Town in the FA Cup. Shaftesbury Town are favorites here. Recently, Shaftesbury Town averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Exmouth Town averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Shaftesbury Town won 1, Exmouth Town won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 3, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Shaftesbury Town and 1.56 for Exmouth Town. This points to a Shaftesbury Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Shaftesbury Town

16%

Draws

28%

Exmouth Town

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Shaftesbury Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Shaftesbury Town picked up more points recently compared to Exmouth Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Shaftesbury Town Clean Sheet 15%

Exmouth Town Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shaftesbury Town	Exmouth Town
Matches Played	14	18
Wins	5	4
Draws	3	2
Losses	6	12
Goals Scored	1.43	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.21	2.11
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 FA Cup

Exmouth Town vs Shaftesbury Town

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup

Shaftesbury Town vs Exmouth Town

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shaftesbury Town 53 / 100

Exmouth Town 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shaftesbury Town Exmouth Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shaftesbury Town Win (1)

Secondary Pick Shaftesbury Town & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shaftesbury Town attacking → ← attacking Exmouth Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shaftesbury Town scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

Exmouth Town let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Shaftesbury Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Exmouth Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 14

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50