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Shahrdari Astara vs Fajr Sepasi

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Jafari S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2024/2025 game between Shahrdari Astara and Fajr Sepasi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fajr Sepasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Shahrdari Astara
6%
Draws
90%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fajr Sepasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fajr Sepasi come out ahead of Shahrdari Astara on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fajr Sepasi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fajr Sepasi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Shahrdari Astara Clean Sheet 24%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahrdari Astara Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 0 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Fajr Sepasi
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Shahrdari Astara
3:0
Mar 17, 2024 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Fajr Sepasi
1:2
Oct 15, 2023 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Shahrdari Astara
2:1
May 10, 2023 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Fajr Sepasi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Astara 10 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahrdari Astara Fajr Sepasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Fajr Sepasi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Shahrdari Astara found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Fajr Sepasi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shahrdari Astara

(Home)
18 May
Shahre Raz
7 : 0
Shahrdari Astara
12 May
Shahrdari Astara
0 : 3
Ario Eslamshahr
06 May
Naft Gachsaran
3 : 1
Shahrdari Astara
29 Apr
Shahrdari Astara
0 : 3
Pars Janoobi Jam
22 Apr
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
6 : 0
Shahrdari Astara
Page 1 of 6

Fajr Sepasi

(Away)
27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
20 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
06 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
2 : 1
Tractor
02 Feb
Zob Ahan
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fajr Sepasi34199639:1766
2Paykan341613543:2161
3Saipa34179834:2360
4Sanat Naft341514528:1559
5Ario Eslamshahr341416433:1858
6Pars Janoobi Jam341411940:3053
7Mes Shahr Babak341213934:2549
8Shahrdari Noshahr3412101237:3246
9Naft Bandar Abbas3410121232:3042
10Mes Kerman34818823:2142
11Besat Kermanshah349151026:2542
12Naft Gachsaran3410121227:2842
13Niroye Zamini347161119:2337
14Kara Gostar Shabestar347151234:4136
15Damash Gilan346161220:3934
16Naft Masjed-Soleyman346151329:3633
17Shahre Raz347121527:3433
18Shahrdari Astara34082614:818
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