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Shahrdari Astara vs Sanat Naft

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shahrdari Astara play Sanat Naft in the Azadegan League 2024/2025. Sanat Naft are favorites here. Recently, Shahrdari Astara averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Sanat Naft averaged 1.16 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. In past meetings, Shahrdari Astara won 0, Sanat Naft won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 6, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Shahrdari Astara and 1.36 for Sanat Naft. This points to a Sanat Naft double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Shahrdari Astara
27%
Draws
63%
Sanat Naft
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Sanat Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shahrdari Astara picked up more points recently compared to Sanat Naft.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Shahrdari Astara Clean Sheet 18%
Sanat Naft Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahrdari Astara Sanat Naft
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 0 15
Draws 7 10
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 0.4 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.53 0.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Sanat Naft
0:0
Sep 23, 2024 Azadegan League
Sanat Naft vs Shahrdari Astara
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Astara 13 / 100
Sanat Naft 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahrdari Astara Sanat Naft

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanat Naft Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sanat Naft & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +400%
50.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shahrdari Astara attacking → ← attacking Sanat Naft

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahrdari Astara scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Sanat Naft let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Shahrdari Astara went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sanat Naft lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 55
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fajr Sepasi34199639:1766
2Paykan341613543:2161
3Saipa34179834:2360
4Sanat Naft341514528:1559
5Ario Eslamshahr341416433:1858
6Pars Janoobi Jam341411940:3053
7Mes Shahr Babak341213934:2549
8Shahrdari Noshahr3412101237:3246
9Naft Bandar Abbas3410121232:3042
10Mes Kerman34818823:2142
11Besat Kermanshah349151026:2542
12Naft Gachsaran3410121227:2842
13Niroye Zamini347161119:2337
14Kara Gostar Shabestar347151234:4136
15Damash Gilan346161220:3934
16Naft Masjed-Soleyman346151329:3633
17Shahre Raz347121527:3433
18Shahrdari Astara34082614:818