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Shahrdari Mahshahr vs Fajr Sepasi

Iran Iran

Division 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Asgari J.
55' Event
Jabbari R.
89' Event

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2018/2019 game between Shahrdari Mahshahr and Fajr Sepasi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shahrdari Mahshahr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shahrdari Mahshahr
44%
Draws
20%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Fajr Sepasi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Shahrdari Mahshahr Clean Sheet 24%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahrdari Mahshahr Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2019 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Mahshahr vs Fajr Sepasi
2:1
Dec 15, 2018 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Shahrdari Mahshahr
0:0
Mar 4, 2018 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Shahrdari Mahshahr
2:1
Oct 16, 2017 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Mahshahr vs Fajr Sepasi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahrdari Mahshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Asgari J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jabbari R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Mahshahr 37 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahrdari Mahshahr Fajr Sepasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Shahrdari Mahshahr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Fajr Sepasi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fajr Sepasi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shahrdari Mahshahr

(Home)
12 Mar
Tractor
3 : 0
Shahrdari Mahshahr
23 Dec
Shahrdari Mahshahr
0 : 2
Persepolis
17 Oct
Shahrdari Mahshahr
2 : 1
Esteghlal Novin Mahshahr
01 Oct
Sardar Bukan
1 : 2
Shahrdari Mahshahr
30 Apr
Shahrdari Mahshahr
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

Fajr Sepasi

(Away)
27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
20 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
06 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
2 : 1
Tractor
02 Feb
Zob Ahan
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gol Gohar301513247:2658
2Shahin Bushehr301412434:1754
3Gol Reyhan Alborz30139830:1948
4Aluminium Arak301212627:2348
5Mes Kerman301211738:2247
6Havadar SC301110948:3843
7Baderan Tehran301110935:3243
8Qashqai Shiraz301161328:3439
9Fajr Sepasi309111026:2438
10Mes Rafsanjan30991240:4236
11Malavan301011929:2835
12Khooneh307101322:3031
13Navad Urmia307101323:4031
14Shahrdari Tabriz306101427:4528
15Arvand Khorramshahr306101417:3628
16Shahrdari Mahshahr305101519:3425
17Meshki Pooshan00000:00
18Bargh00000:00
19Naft Tehran00000:00
20Machine Sazi Tabriz00000:00
21Gostaresh00000:00
22Esteghlal Jonoub00000:00
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2019/2020 (Main)