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Shahrdari Mahshahr vs Persepolis

Iran Iran

Hazfi Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shahrdari Mahshahr play Persepolis in the Hazfi Cup 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shahrdari Mahshahr averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Persepolis averaged 1.11 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Shahrdari Mahshahr won 0, Persepolis won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 23, 2019 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Shahrdari Mahshahr and 1.24 for Persepolis. This points to a Persepolis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Shahrdari Mahshahr
31%
Draws
45%
Persepolis
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Persepolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Shahrdari Mahshahr picked up more points recently compared to Persepolis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Shahrdari Mahshahr Clean Sheet 19%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahrdari Mahshahr Persepolis
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.73 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2019 Hazfi Cup
Shahrdari Mahshahr vs Persepolis
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahrdari Mahshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Persepolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Alipour A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Mahshahr 25 / 100
Persepolis 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahrdari Mahshahr Persepolis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Persepolis or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shahrdari Mahshahr attacking → ← attacking Persepolis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahrdari Mahshahr scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Persepolis let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Shahrdari Mahshahr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Persepolis lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50