Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shahrdari Noshahr vs Besat Kermanshah

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Naeij Pour M.
51' Event
Bahan R.

AI Match Summary

Shahrdari Noshahr host Besat Kermanshah in the Azadegan League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Shahrdari Noshahr at 0.38 goals for, 0.88 against; Besat Kermanshah at 0.38 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Shahrdari Noshahr slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 20, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.56 - 0.63) back Besat Kermanshah to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shahrdari Noshahr
6%
Draws
4%
Besat Kermanshah
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shahrdari Noshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Besat Kermanshah has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shahrdari Noshahr.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Shahrdari Noshahr.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Azadegan League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 68%
Besat Kermanshah Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahrdari Noshahr Besat Kermanshah
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 13 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Besat Kermanshah
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1:0
May 1, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1:0
Dec 13, 2024 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Besat Kermanshah
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahrdari Noshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Naeij Pour M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bahan R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Besat Kermanshah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Noshahr 95 / 100
Besat Kermanshah 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahrdari Noshahr Besat Kermanshah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahrdari Noshahr scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Besat Kermanshah let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Shahrdari Noshahr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Besat Kermanshah lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shahrdari Noshahr VS Besat Kermanshah
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran33209447:1569
2Mes Shahr Babak331811439:1465
3Pars Janoobi Jam331512642:2157
4Sanat Naft331512635:2157
5Saipa331511729:1856
6Havadar SC331117532:2050
7Naft Bandar Abbas331017626:1847
8Fard331015824:1545
9Mes Kerman33915920:1842
10Ario Eslamshahr33816917:1740
11Besat Kermanshah339111324:3038
12Niroye Zamini338121328:2936
13Naft Gachsaran337141225:3935
14Kara Gostar Shabestar338101516:3434
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm337111520:3632
16Shahrdari Noshahr335151318:2830
17Navad Urmia334121716:4524
18Damash Gilan332121916:5618