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Stadium Background

Shahter Taganrog vs Zarya Lugansk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kasimov T.
54' Event
Shcherban D.
75' Event
Zakharov M.

AI Match Summary

Shahter Taganrog in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shahter Taganrog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shahter Taganrog
6%
Draws
4%
Zarya Lugansk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shahter Taganrog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shahter Taganrog lately — more wins on the board than Zarya Lugansk.
  • Model gives Shahter Taganrog a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Shahter Taganrog Clean Sheet 68%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahter Taganrog Zarya Lugansk
Matches Played 15 15
Wins 10 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Shahter Taganrog vs Zarya Lugansk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahter Taganrog Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasimov T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shcherban D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Zarya Lugansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakharov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahter Taganrog 95 / 100
Zarya Lugansk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahter Taganrog Zarya Lugansk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahter Taganrog scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Zarya Lugansk has conceded goals in 73% of their last 15 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Shahter Taganrog stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shahter Taganrog VS Zarya Lugansk
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%