Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Druha Liga 2011/2012 game between Shakhtar 3 and FC Mariupol II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shakhtar 3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shakhtar 3
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Mariupol II come out ahead of Shakhtar 3 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Shakhtar 3's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Shakhtar 3 Clean Sheet 20%
FC Mariupol II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shakhtar 3 | FC Mariupol II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 16 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.5 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2012 Druha Liga
FC Mariupol II vs Shakhtar 3
3:0
Oct 1, 2011 Druha Liga
Shakhtar 3 vs FC Mariupol II
2:1
Oct 16, 2010 Druha Liga
Shakhtar 3 vs FC Mariupol II
6:0
Aug 1, 2010 Druha Liga
FC Mariupol II vs Shakhtar 3
2:1
Apr 11, 2010 Druha Liga
FC Mariupol II vs Shakhtar 3
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shakhtar 3 85 / 100
FC Mariupol II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shakhtar 3 FC Mariupol II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Mariupol II has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Shakhtar 3 scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Shakhtar 3 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS FC Mariupol II
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shakhtar 3
(Home) 03 Jun
Shakhtar 3
2 : 1 Kremin
28 May
Obolon
1 : 0 Shakhtar 3
23 May
Shakhtar 3
0 : 2 Cherkashchyna
16 May
Nova Kakhovka
0 : 3 Shakhtar 3
10 May
Shakhtar 3
2 : 0 Arsenal Bila Tserkva
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03 Jun
Shakhtar 3
2 : 1 Kremin
23 May
Shakhtar 3
0 : 2 Cherkashchyna
10 May
Shakhtar 3
2 : 0 Arsenal Bila Tserkva
24 Apr
Shakhtar 3
0 : 2 Krystal
29 Mar
Shakhtar 3
5 : 2 Skala Stryj
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FC Mariupol II
(Away) 02 Jun
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 0 FC Mariupol II
27 May
FC Mariupol II
1 : 3 Myr Hornostajivka
21 May
Krystal
: FC Mariupol II
18 May
FC Mariupol II
0 : 2 Zhemchuzhyna Odesa
13 May
Kremin
2 : 0 FC Mariupol II
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02 Jun
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 0 FC Mariupol II
21 May
Krystal
: FC Mariupol II
13 May
Kremin
2 : 0 FC Mariupol II
04 May
FC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 5 FC Mariupol II
22 Apr
Sudnobudivnyk Mykolaiv
1 : 0 FC Mariupol II
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sumy | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 51:13 | 66 |
| 2 | Desna | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 48:19 | 59 |
| 3 | Cherkashchyna | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 36:16 | 53 |
| 4 | Nova Kakhovka | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51:18 | 52 |
| 5 | UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:25 | 48 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004) | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 40:32 | 33 |
| 7 | Real Pharma Odesa | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 28:41 | 33 |
| 8 | Krystal | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 30:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Skala Stryj | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | 28 |
| 10 | FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 23:50 | 22 |
| 11 | Ch. Odesa 2 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19:20 | 20 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:41 | 18 |
| 13 | Yednist | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19:57 | 15 |
| 14 | Yalpuh Bolhrad | 26 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 10:54 | 7 |
Promotion - Persha Liga 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2011/2012 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Poltava | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 50:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Kramatorsk 2 | 26 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 41:15 | 58 |
| 3 | Shakhter Sverdlovsk | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 49:23 | 51 |
| 4 | Kryvbas Krivoy Rog | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 44:22 | 51 |
| 5 | Kremin | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 34:23 | 51 |
| 6 | Stal Kamianske | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 34:19 | 48 |
| 7 | Myr Hornostajivka | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:26 | 46 |
| 8 | Shakhtar 3 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 46:56 | 31 |
| 9 | Hirnyk-Sport | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:39 | 26 |
| 10 | FC Sevastopol 2 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 26:51 | 24 |
| 11 | Dnipro II | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24:45 | 23 |
| 12 | SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 19:43 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Mariupol II | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 25:47 | 17 |
| 14 | FC Nikopol | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 20:48 | 17 |
Promotion - Persha Liga 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2011/2012 (Relegation)