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Shakhtar Bulat vs Kairat Almaty 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Blokhin D.
46'
Sub
Chirkov R. In: Omatay M.
Out: Chirkov R.
46'
Sub
Mukhametzhanov U. In: Wagner R.
Out: Mukhametzhanov U.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Shakhtar Bulat and Kairat Almaty 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Shakhtar Bulat
6%
Draws
90%
Kairat Almaty 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kairat Almaty 2 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 12%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Bulat Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 22
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0 2.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2022 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
4:1
Jul 1, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:1
Oct 29, 2021 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Kairat Almaty 2
4:3
Apr 11, 2021 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
3:0
Oct 31, 2020 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Top Goalscorer Galkin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakhimzhanov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar Bulat 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Bulat Kairat Almaty 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar Bulat found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Kairat Almaty 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Shakhtar Bulat stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kairat Almaty 2
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717