Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shakhtar vs Besiktas

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kevin
Assist: Kaua Elias
16'
Tiknaz D. E.
36'
Matvienko M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Shakhtar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shakhtar
6%
Draws
4%
Besiktas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shakhtar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shakhtar a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Shakhtar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shakhtar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 20%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Besiktas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2025 Europa League
Shakhtar vs Besiktas
2:0
Jul 24, 2025 Europa League
Besiktas vs Shakhtar
2:4
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Besiktas vs Shakhtar
0:1
Jul 12, 2018 Club Friendly
Besiktas vs Shakhtar
0:0
Oct 11, 2015 Club Friendly
Besiktas vs Shakhtar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kevin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaua Elias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Besiktas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 85 / 100
Besiktas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Besiktas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Shakhtar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Besiktas has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS Besiktas
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
26 Jul
Bursaspor
0 : 0
Shakhtar
25 Jul
Shakhtar
0 : 0
Al-Ula
23 Jul
HNK Gorica
0 : 2
Shakhtar
21 Jul
Slaven Belupo
2 : 2
Shakhtar
19 Jul
Rudes
0 : 5
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

Besiktas

(Away)
23 Jul
Besiktas
1 : 0
Midtjylland
14 Jul
Spartak Trnava
3 : 2
Besiktas
14 Jul
Malzenice
1 : 1
Besiktas
10 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 0
Besiktas
05 Jul
Mosonmagyarovari TE
0 : 0
Besiktas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hamrun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Shkendija Tetovo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Slovan Bratislava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Young Boys-
Malmo FF-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sigma Olomouc-
Panathinaikos-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Besiktas-
TBD-
Shakhtar6
Ilves0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Samsunspor-
Aberdeen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Drita-
Lech Poznan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Genk-
Fredrikstad-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Midtjylland-
TBD-
TBD-
Hibernian-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KuPS-
Lincoln Red Imps-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
Lugano-
TBD-
Paks0
CFR Cluj3
Levski Sofia2
H. Beer Sheva1
TBD-
Braga-
Zrinjski-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Breidablik-
Servette-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sheriff Tiraspol5
Prishtina2
TBD-
Utrecht-
Anderlecht-
TBD-
Spartak Trnava2
Hacken3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brann-
Sabah Baku5
Celje6
AEK Larnaca3
Partizan2
Ostrava-
TBD-
Legia2
Aktobe0
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shelbourne-
PAOK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wolfsberger AC-
Quarter-finals
Hamrun-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Shkendija Tetovo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Slovan Bratislava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Young Boys-
Malmo FF-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sigma Olomouc-
Panathinaikos-
TBD-
Besiktas2
Shakhtar6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Samsunspor-
Aberdeen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
Drita-
Lech Poznan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Genk-
Fredrikstad-
TBD-
Midtjylland3
Hibernian2
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
KuPS-
Lincoln Red Imps-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
Lugano0
CFR Cluj1
Levski Sofia0
Braga1
Zrinjski-
TBD-
TBD-
Breidablik-
Servette-
TBD-
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Utrecht7
Anderlecht2
Hacken3
TBD-
Brann-
Celje2
AEK Larnaca3
Ostrava3
Legia4
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Shelbourne-
PAOK-
TBD-
TBD-
Wolfsberger AC-
Semi-finals
Hamrun2
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Shkendija Tetovo-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Slovan Bratislava-
TBD-
TBD-
Young Boys-
Malmo FF-
TBD-
TBD-
Sigma Olomouc-
Panathinaikos1
Shakhtar0
TBD-
Samsunspor-
Aberdeen-
TBD-
FCSB6
Drita3
Lech Poznan-
TBD-
TBD-
Genk-
Fredrikstad1
Midtjylland5
RFS1
KuPS3
Lincoln Red Imps2
Noah1
CFR Cluj1
Braga4
Zrinjski3
Breidablik2
Servette2
Utrecht5
Hacken1
Brann2
AEK Larnaca5
Legia3
Rijeka4
Shelbourne3
PAOK1
Wolfsberger AC0
Final
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Dynamo Kyiv2
Shkendija Tetovo3
Ludogorets5
Slovan Bratislava2
Young Boys4
Malmo FF5
Sigma Olomouc0
Panathinaikos2
Samsunspor1
Aberdeen2
FCSB5
Lech Poznan3
Genk6
Midtjylland6
KuPS0
Lincoln Red Imps1
Braga9
Zrinjski0
Utrecht2
Brann6
AEK Larnaca1
Rijeka1
PAOK5