Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shakhtar vs FC Mariupol

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Ismaily In: Kornienko V.
Out: Ismaily
31'
Sub
Maycon In: Stepanenko T.
Out: Maycon
31'
Sub
Mudryk M. In: Sudakov G.
Out: Mudryk M.

AI Match Summary

FC Mariupol in this Club Friendly 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Mariupol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Shakhtar
22%
Draws
18%
FC Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Shakhtar have won more games recently than FC Mariupol.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Shakhtar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 20%
FC Mariupol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar FC Mariupol
Matches Played 28 15
Wins 18 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 Premier League
Shakhtar vs FC Mariupol
0:0
Feb 15, 2022 Club Friendly
Shakhtar vs FC Mariupol
1:2
Jan 28, 2022 Club Friendly
Shakhtar vs FC Mariupol
0:0
Sep 18, 2021 Premier League
FC Mariupol vs Shakhtar
0:5
Apr 10, 2021 Premier League
FC Mariupol vs Shakhtar
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tete
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Mariupol Compare

Top Goalscorer Kukharuk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 58 / 100
FC Mariupol 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar FC Mariupol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

FC Mariupol let in goals in 80% of their last 15 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Shakhtar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%