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Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Astana 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kalybayev D.
Assist: Litosh A.
40' Event
Litosh A.
Assist: Migunov A.
51' Event
Kalybayev D.

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy in this First League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhter Karagandy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Shakhter Karagandy
20%
Draws
28%
FC Astana 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Shakhter Karagandy have won more games recently than FC Astana 2.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Shakhter Karagandy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 20%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhter Karagandy FC Astana 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.66 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.48 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Astana 2
4:0
May 21, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhter Karagandy Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalybayev D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Litosh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

FC Astana 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhter Karagandy 85 / 100
FC Astana 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhter Karagandy FC Astana 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhter Karagandy found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

FC Astana 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Shakhter Karagandy has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shakhter Karagandy VS FC Astana 2
3.25 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhter Karagandy

(Home)
08 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 0
Akademiya Ontustik
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 6

FC Astana 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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