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Shakhter Karagandy vs Khan Tengri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Shakhter Karagandy Logo

Shakhter Karagandy

4 - 0
FT
Khan Tengri Logo

Khan Tengri

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kalybayev D.
Assist: Migunov A.
25' Event
Litosh A.
Assist: Ulshin A.
49' Event
Litosh A.
Assist: Kalybayev D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy in this First League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhter Karagandy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Shakhter Karagandy
30%
Draws
19%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Shakhter Karagandy have won more games recently than Khan Tengri.
  • Win probability leans Shakhter Karagandy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shakhter Karagandy have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 20%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhter Karagandy Khan Tengri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.66 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.48 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Khan Tengri
4:0
Jun 12, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Shakhter Karagandy
0:2
Jul 25, 2025 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Khan Tengri
3:0
Apr 25, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs Shakhter Karagandy
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhter Karagandy Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalybayev D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Litosh A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Khan Tengri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhter Karagandy 85 / 100
Khan Tengri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhter Karagandy Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shakhter Karagandy scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Shakhter Karagandy went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Khan Tengri conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shakhter Karagandy VS Khan Tengri
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhter Karagandy

(Home)
08 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 0
Akademiya Ontustik
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 6

Khan Tengri

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
Khan Tengri
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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