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Shakhter Karagandy vs Taraz Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Shakhter Karagandy
35%
Draws
21%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Taraz haven't matched Shakhter Karagandy's recent run of results.
  • Shakhter Karagandy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 20%
Taraz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhter Karagandy Taraz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.76 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Taraz
0:0
Jun 26, 2026 First League
Taraz vs Shakhter Karagandy
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Taraz
2:0
Jul 4, 2025 First League
Taraz vs Shakhter Karagandy
4:0
Sep 4, 2022 Premier League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Taraz
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhter Karagandy 85 / 100
Taraz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhter Karagandy Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhter Karagandy found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Shakhter Karagandy went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Taraz has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shakhter Karagandy VS Taraz
3.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhter Karagandy

(Home)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
FC Astana 2
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Taraz

(Away)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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