Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamal vs Al-Duhail

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Al Rawi B.
36'
Sabaly Y.
40' Event
Bounedjah B.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2025/2026 game between Shamal and Al-Duhail finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Duhail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shamal
39%
Draws
30%
Al-Duhail
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Shamal have managed 1.63 goals a game lately — Al-Duhail are scoring more at 1.88.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Duhail have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Shamal Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Duhail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al-Duhail
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Duhail
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 QSL
Al-Duhail vs Shamal
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 QSL
Al-Duhail vs Shamal
0:4
Nov 1, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Duhail
2:6
May 6, 2024 Emir Cup
Al-Duhail vs Shamal
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounedjah B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al-Duhail Compare

Top Goalscorer Edmilson Junior
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boulbina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 32 / 100
Al-Duhail 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al-Duhail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Duhail has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Shamal scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al-Duhail lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al-Duhail
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0
Shamal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

Al-Duhail

(Away)
05 May
Al-Duhail
1 : 4
Al-Sadd
01 May
Al-Duhail
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2
Al-Duhail
13 Apr
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0
Al-Duhail
08 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al-Duhail
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd22143556:3045
2Shamal22124639:2840
3Al Rayyan22115646:3238
4Al-Gharafa22113836:3636
5Al-Duhail2296740:2733
6Al Arabi (Qatar)2295837:4132
7Al Wakra2286836:3430
8Qatar SC2285932:3629
9Al Ahli22821234:4326
10Al Sailiya22641225:3822
11Al-Shahaniya22631322:3921
12Umm-Salal22621437:5620
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 2 2026/2027 (Main)