Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamal vs Al-Duhail

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Al Rawi B.
36'
Sabaly Y.
40' Event
Bounedjah B.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2025/2026 game between Shamal and Al-Duhail finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Duhail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Shamal
35%
Draws
28%
Al-Duhail
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamal come out ahead of Al-Duhail on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al-Duhail have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Shamal Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Duhail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al-Duhail
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Duhail
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 QSL
Al-Duhail vs Shamal
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 QSL
Al-Duhail vs Shamal
0:4
Nov 1, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Duhail
2:6
May 6, 2024 Emir Cup
Al-Duhail vs Shamal
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounedjah B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Duhail Compare

Top Goalscorer Edmilson Junior
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boulbina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 31 / 100
Al-Duhail 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al-Duhail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shamal scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Al-Duhail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Shamal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al-Duhail
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
27 Aug
Al-Gharafa
1 : 3
Shamal
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Al-Duhail

(Away)
12 Sept
Al-Duhail
1 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1
Al-Duhail
29 Aug
Al-Duhail
1 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
22 Aug
Al-Duhail
2 : 0
Al Sailiya
05 May
Al-Duhail
1 : 4
Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al-Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al-Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)