Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamkir vs ANSAD Neftcala

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016 Shamkir City Stadium, Şəmkir
Shamkir Logo

Shamkir

0 - 1
FT
ANSAD Neftcala Logo

ANSAD Neftcala

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ANSAD Neftcala in this First Division 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ANSAD Neftcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shamkir
15%
Draws
54%
ANSAD Neftcala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ANSAD Neftcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Shamkir haven't matched ANSAD Neftcala's recent run of results.
  • ANSAD Neftcala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ANSAD Neftcala have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Shamkir Clean Sheet 20%
ANSAD Neftcala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamkir ANSAD Neftcala
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 22
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2016 I Liqa
Shamkir vs ANSAD Neftcala
0:1
Nov 12, 2015 I Liqa
ANSAD Neftcala vs Shamkir
1:0
Mar 7, 2015 I Liqa
Shamkir vs ANSAD Neftcala
0:0
Nov 28, 2014 I Liqa
ANSAD Neftcala vs Shamkir
2:0
Feb 22, 2014 I Liqa
ANSAD Neftcala vs Shamkir
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamkir 10 / 100
ANSAD Neftcala 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamkir ANSAD Neftcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANSAD Neftcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamkir found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Shamkir went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: ANSAD Neftcala conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shamkir VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamkir

(Home)
30 Oct
Shamakhi
6 : 1
Shamkir
27 Apr
Shamkir
0 : 0
Agsu (Inactive)
21 Apr
Sabail
1 : 0
Shamkir
14 Apr
Shamkir
5 : 1
Mingachevir
09 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
0 : 2
Shamkir
Page 1 of 7

ANSAD Neftcala

(Away)
13 May
ANSAD Neftcala
10 : 0
Mingachevir
06 May
Imisli FK
0 : 1
ANSAD Neftcala
29 Apr
ANSAD Neftcala
5 : 2
Agsu (Inactive)
22 Apr
Sahdag Qusar
4 : 3
ANSAD Neftcala
15 Apr
ANSAD Neftcala
3 : 1
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ANSAD Neftcala 26 20 2 4 74:20 62
2 Lokbatan 26 18 4 4 59:28 58
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 13 8 5 46:29 47
4 MOIK Baku 26 14 5 7 53:24 47
5 Shamkir 26 10 8 8 30:24 38
6 Zaqatala PFK 26 9 9 8 47:36 36
7 Turan 26 10 6 10 35:31 36
8 Imisli FK 26 8 8 10 28:26 32
9 FK Baku 26 9 3 14 33:42 30
10 Bakili Baku 26 8 6 12 34:46 30
11 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 31:54 30
12 Sharurspor 26 8 4 14 45:44 28
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 3 8 15 17:42 17
14 Mingachevir 26 4 3 19 14:100 15
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)