Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamkir vs Bakili Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2014/2015 Shamkir City Stadium, Şəmkir
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shamkir in this First Division 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shamkir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shamkir
6%
Draws
4%
Bakili Baku
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shamkir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shamkir have won more games recently than Bakili Baku.
  • Shamkir are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shamkir Clean Sheet 20%
Bakili Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamkir Bakili Baku
Matches Played 37 35
Wins 19 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2017 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Shamkir
0:3
Oct 8, 2016 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Bakili Baku
2:1
Apr 15, 2016 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Shamkir
2:2
Nov 19, 2015 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Bakili Baku
0:0
Apr 24, 2015 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Bakili Baku
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamkir 85 / 100
Bakili Baku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamkir Bakili Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakili Baku has conceded goals in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Attacking prowess: Shamkir scored in 68% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Shamkir has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shamkir VS Bakili Baku
2 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamkir

(Home)
30 Oct
Shamakhi
6 : 1
Shamkir
27 Apr
Shamkir
0 : 0
Agsu (Inactive)
21 Apr
Sabail
1 : 0
Shamkir
14 Apr
Shamkir
5 : 1
Mingachevir
09 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
0 : 2
Shamkir
Page 1 of 8

Bakili Baku

(Away)
27 Apr
Bakili Baku
1 : 7
Sabail
21 Apr
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Bakili Baku
14 Apr
Bakili Baku
4 : 0
Goyazan Qazax
09 Apr
Lokbatan
6 : 1
Bakili Baku
30 Mar
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ANSAD Neftcala30253283:1978
2Agsu (Inactive)30214570:2267
3Ravan30214570:2267
4Lokbatan30205557:2565
5Zira FK 230196561:1963
6Turan301551075:3750
7Sahdag Qusar30138940:2947
8Susa301441249:3146
9Kapaz301081237:3738
10Bakili Baku301041646:6134
11Shamkir30881425:4632
12MOIK Baku30851726:6029
13Imisli FK30751830:6526
14Mingachevir30532224:8218
15Goyazan Qazax30332415:9112
16Bilajary30312610:7210
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)