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Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Shamrock Rovers Logo

Shamrock Rovers

2 - 1
FT
Ararat-Armenia Logo

Ararat-Armenia

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Healy M.
Assist: Greene A.
36' Event
Greene A.
Assist: Byrne J.
50'
Bueno J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Shamrock Rovers
20%
Draws
48%
Ararat-Armenia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ararat-Armenia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ararat-Armenia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Ararat-Armenia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shamrock Rovers, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 23%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock Rovers Ararat-Armenia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.68 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Champions League
Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia
2:1
Jul 21, 2026 Champions League
Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Healy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Greene A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandro Lima
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 29 / 100
Ararat-Armenia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock Rovers Ararat-Armenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat-Armenia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamrock Rovers found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Ararat-Armenia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Shamrock Rovers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamrock Rovers VS Ararat-Armenia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamrock Rovers

(Home)
08 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
Drogheda
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Ararat-Armenia

(Away)
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0
Syunik
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6