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Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Whyte G.
46'
Sub
Whyte G. In: Akinyemi D.
Out: Whyte G.
46'
Sub
Thomas J. In: Olayinka J.
Out: Thomas J.

AI Match Summary

Shamrock Rovers in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shamrock Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Shamrock Rovers
35%
Draws
45%
Derry City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Derry City haven't matched Shamrock Rovers's recent run of results.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Derry City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamrock Rovers Derry City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
3:3
Jun 22, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
1:0
Mar 6, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Super Cup
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamrock Rovers 30 / 100
Derry City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamrock Rovers Derry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shamrock Rovers scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Derry City let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Shamrock Rovers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamrock Rovers VS Derry City
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamrock Rovers

(Home)
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Derry City

(Away)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)