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Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Sardar Azadegan Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Shams Azar Qazvin play Gol Gohar in the Persian Gulf Pro League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shams Azar Qazvin averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Gol Gohar averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Shams Azar Qazvin won 0, Gol Gohar won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Dec 9, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Shams Azar Qazvin and 1.06 for Gol Gohar. This points to a Gol Gohar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Shams Azar Qazvin
35%
Draws
42%
Gol Gohar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gol Gohar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Shams Azar Qazvin picked up more points recently compared to Gol Gohar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 22%
Gol Gohar Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 41%
Second Half Goal 44%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shams Azar Qazvin Gol Gohar
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.7 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar
1:1
May 8, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Gol Gohar vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:0
Dec 27, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar
0:1
May 5, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Gol Gohar vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0:0
Nov 25, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Gol Gohar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shams Azar Qazvin Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadakar S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Gol Gohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Asadi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shams Azar Qazvin 25 / 100
Gol Gohar 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shams Azar Qazvin Gol Gohar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gol Gohar or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +42.8%
7.14
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shams Azar Qazvin attacking → ← attacking Gol Gohar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shams Azar Qazvin scored in 44% of their last 27 games.

Gol Gohar let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Shams Azar Qazvin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gol Gohar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 48
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915