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Shan United vs Dagon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shan United host Dagon in the National League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Shan United have averaged 2.53 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Dagon's 2.3 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Shan United have won 4 to Dagon's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.25 - 1.25) back Shan United to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Shan United
30%
Draws
31%
Dagon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Shan United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Shan United taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shan United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Shan United Clean Sheet 19%
Dagon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shan United Dagon
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 22 19
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.53 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Shan United
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Dagon
4:0
Feb 1, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Shan United
0:0
Jul 11, 2024 National League
Shan United vs Dagon
2:1
May 26, 2024 MNL League Cup
Shan United vs Dagon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shan United 40 / 100
Dagon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shan United Dagon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shan United's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Dagon has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Shan United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shan United VS Dagon
3.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shan United

(Home)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
Page 1 of 8

Dagon

(Away)
09 Oct
Ispe
2 : 2
Dagon
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Shan United 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Yadanarbon 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Yangon United 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
5 Thitsar Arman 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
6 Yangon Royals 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
9 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
10 Hantharwady United 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
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