Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shandong Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong

China China

Super League Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Zhang Yingkai
35' Event
Guilherme Madruga
Assist: da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
37'
Zhang Zhixiong

AI Match Summary

Shandong Taishan in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shandong Taishan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shandong Taishan
40%
Draws
29%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Shandong Taishan have won more games recently than Chongqing Tonglianglong.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 14%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shandong Taishan Chongqing Tonglianglong
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
3:1
Jun 22, 2024 FA Cup
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shandong Taishan
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Madruga
2 Goals
Assists Leader Xie Wenneng
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimata L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shandong Taishan 31 / 100
Chongqing Tonglianglong 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shandong Taishan Chongqing Tonglianglong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shandong Taishan scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Chongqing Tonglianglong let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Shandong Taishan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shandong Taishan VS Chongqing Tonglianglong
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shandong Taishan

(Home)
26 Jul
Shandong Taishan
1 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
21 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 3
Shandong Taishan
18 Jul
Dalian Yingbo
3 : 1
Shandong Taishan
10 Jul
Shandong Taishan
4 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
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Chongqing Tonglianglong

(Away)
25 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
21 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
18 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong2078523:2229
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Qingdao West Coast20610424:2928
5Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren19631025:3121
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1985636:3119
12Shanghai Port1966730:2619
13Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
14Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1966726:2214
15Wuhan Three Towns1947827:3414
16Qingdao Hainiu20631130:3814
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)