Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shandong Taishan vs Henan Songshan Longmen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Bruno Nazario
Assist: Pedro Maranhao
45' Event
Lucas Maia
Assist: Bruno Nazario
46'
Sub
Gao Zhunyi In: Yang Ruiqi
Out: Gao Zhunyi

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Shandong Taishan and Henan Songshan Longmen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Henan Songshan Longmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Shandong Taishan
35%
Draws
32%
Henan Songshan Longmen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Henan Songshan Longmen haven't matched Shandong Taishan's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 17%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shandong Taishan Henan Songshan Longmen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Henan Songshan Longmen
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shandong Taishan
0:1
Jun 30, 2025 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shandong Taishan
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Henan Songshan Longmen
0:0
Aug 21, 2024 FA Cup
Shandong Taishan vs Henan Songshan Longmen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Henan Songshan Longmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Nazario
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Maia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shandong Taishan 31 / 100
Henan Songshan Longmen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shandong Taishan Henan Songshan Longmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Henan Songshan Longmen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shandong Taishan's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Henan Songshan Longmen conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Shandong Taishan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shandong Taishan VS Henan Songshan Longmen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shandong Taishan

(Home)
11 Oct
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 1
Shandong Taishan
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Sept
Shandong Taishan
0 : 3
Shanghai Port
28 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 3
Shandong Taishan
22 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
Page 1 of 6

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Away)
09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
06 Sept
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
29 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Shandong Taishan 27 13 5 9 47:44 38
5 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
6 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Chongqing Tonglianglong 27 7 11 9 28:33 32
10 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 27 7 5 15 35:48 26
15 Wuhan Three Towns 27 5 12 10 40:47 22
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)