Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Port

China China

Super League 2025 Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Li X.
Assist: Liu Ruofan
41' Event
Qazaishvili V.
Assist: Zeca
46'
Sub
Merkies R. In: Xie Wenneng
Out: Merkies R.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between Shandong Taishan and Shanghai Port finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shandong Taishan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shandong Taishan
39%
Draws
31%
Shanghai Port
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Shandong Taishan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 12%
Shanghai Port Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shandong Taishan Shanghai Port
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Port
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Port
3:1
May 17, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Port vs Shandong Taishan
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 FA Cup
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Port
1:3
Aug 3, 2024 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Port
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer Qazaishvili V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Liu Yang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Shanghai Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Li X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shandong Taishan 29 / 100
Shanghai Port 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shandong Taishan Shanghai Port

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shandong Taishan scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Shanghai Port conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Shandong Taishan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shandong Taishan VS Shanghai Port
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shandong Taishan

(Home)
21 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 3
Shandong Taishan
18 Jul
Dalian Yingbo
3 : 1
Shandong Taishan
10 Jul
Shandong Taishan
4 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 5
Shandong Taishan
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Shanghai Port

(Away)
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
17 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 2
Shanghai Port
04 Jul
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 1
Shanghai Port
27 Jun
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
19 Jun
Shanghai Second
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30206472:4466
2Shanghai Shenhua30197467:3564
3Chengdu Rongcheng30179460:2860
4Beijing Guoan30176769:4657
5Shandong Taishan30158769:4653
6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301281040:4144
7Zhejiang Professional301012860:5142
8Yunnan Yukun301191047:5242
9Qingdao West Coast3010101039:4340
10Henan Songshan Longmen301071352:4837
11Dalian Yingbo30991230:4536
12Shenzhen Xinpengcheng30831935:5927
13Wuhan Three Towns30671734:6225
14Qingdao Hainiu305101535:4825
15Meizhou Hakka30561936:7121
16Changchun Yatai30471926:5219
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - League One (Main)