Sport Picks
Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan 
Match Events
32'
32'
Wang Qiuming
39'
39'
Yang Ruiqi
46'
46'
Sub
Yang Ruiqi In: Yin Jiaxi
Out: Yang Ruiqi
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Shandong Taishan and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shandong Taishan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger haven't matched Shandong Taishan's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Tianjin Jinmen Tiger taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Shandong Taishan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 15%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shandong Taishan | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
Apr 21, 2026 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shandong Taishan
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shandong Taishan
1:0
Oct 18, 2024 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shandong Taishan Compare
Top Goalscorer Liu Yang
1 Goals Assists Leader da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare
Top Goalscorer Xadas B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shandong Taishan 19 / 100
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shandong Taishan Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shandong Taishan found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Shandong Taishan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shandong Taishan VS Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shandong Taishan
(Home) 05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Sept
Shandong Taishan
0 : 3 Shanghai Port
28 Aug
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 3 Shandong Taishan
22 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 0 Shandong Taishan
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
01 Sept
Shandong Taishan
0 : 3 Shanghai Port
14 Aug
Shandong Taishan
3 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
09 Aug
Shandong Taishan
2 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
26 Jul
Shandong Taishan
1 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 3
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
(Away) 10 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
0 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1 Qingdao West Coast
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Chengdu Rongcheng
0 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
09 Aug
Shandong Taishan
2 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
25 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42:42 | 43 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31:36 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
