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Shanghai Second vs Guangdong Mingtu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Donghua University Stadium, Shanghai
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shanghai Second host Guangdong Mingtu in the League Two. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Guangdong Mingtu have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Shanghai Second have conceded 1.54 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Shanghai Second have won 1 to Guangdong Mingtu's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.56 - 1.19) back Guangdong Mingtu to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Shanghai Second
35%
Draws
47%
Guangdong Mingtu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guangdong Mingtu come out ahead of Shanghai Second on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guangdong Mingtu's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Shanghai Second Clean Sheet 20%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Second Guangdong Mingtu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 11 13
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Shanghai Second
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 FA Cup
Shanghai Second vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Second 24 / 100
Guangdong Mingtu 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Second Guangdong Mingtu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shanghai Second scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Shanghai Second remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Guangdong Mingtu conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Second VS Guangdong Mingtu
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Second

(Home)
06 Oct
Shanghai Second
1 : 1
Wenzhou Professional
19 Sept
Shanghai Second
0 : 0
Hubei Istar
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
22 Aug
Taian Tiankuang
2 : 2
Shanghai Second
15 Aug
Shanghai Second
0 : 2
Nantong Haimen
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Guangdong Mingtu

(Away)
06 Oct
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 1
Dalian Yingbo B
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
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