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Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Wu Xi
42' Event
Ramos G.
49'
Dawhan

AI Match Summary

Beijing Guoan in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beijing Guoan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shanghai Shenhua
20%
Draws
44%
Beijing Guoan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beijing Guoan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Shanghai Shenhua and Beijing Guoan have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 10%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua Beijing Guoan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2.07 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
0:3
Mar 21, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
2:2
Aug 22, 2024 FA Cup
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cao Yongjing
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 29 / 100
Beijing Guoan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua Beijing Guoan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Shenhua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Shanghai Shenhua found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Beijing Guoan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Shanghai Shenhua stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Shenhua VS Beijing Guoan
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shanghai Shenhua

(Home)
10 Oct
Shanghai Shenhua
7 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
17 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1
Tampines
06 Sept
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 3
Shanghai Shenhua
01 Sept
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
Page 1 of 6

Beijing Guoan

(Away)
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 27 13 4 10 42:42 43
3 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
4 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 27 8 14 5 31:36 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)